Long COVID



Long COVID


Roberto Patarca



INTRODUCTION

Beyond the human toll of its acute-phase and devastating socioeconomic impact, the still lingering severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS)-coronavirus (CoV)-2 pandemic1,2 that started toward the end of 2019 has been leaving an indelible mark on a population subset of debated proportion experiencing long coronavirus disease (COVID). Estimated to affect 3% to 20% or more of individuals after acute SARS-CoV-2 infection,3,4 in what some have termed a postpandemic pandemic, long COVID is not without precedent. Long-lasting sequelae including fatigue, pain, shortness of breath, loss of taste and smell, neurophysiologic manifestations including sleep disturbances and lack of concentration, as well as psychiatric morbidities had been reported for up to 36 months after infection with SARS-CoV-1 and Middle East respiratory syndrome (MERS)-CoV, as chronic post-SARS/MERS syndrome.5, 6, 7, 8, 9 and 10

A few months into the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, individuals who had suffered acute COVID-19 and support groups across the globe generated broad awareness on long COVID using digital advocacy via social and popular media. They shared persistent symptoms or unexpected health changes, conducted and published internet-based surveys, and coined and marshaled epistemic authority on long COVID.11
In July 2020, a U.S. multistate healthcare systems network12 and an outpatient clinic in Italy13 were first in reporting findings on long COVID. In December 2020, the U.S. Congress approved $1.15 billion in funding to study the condition.

Long COVID is recognized as a public health threat14,15 and has joined the ranks of other post-acute infection syndromes associated with a variety of microbes.16 These include Q fever fatigue syndrome after Coxiella burnetii bacterial infection17,18; posttreatment Lyme disease syndrome19,20 after Borrelia burgdorferi bacterial infection; post–dengue fatigue syndrome21; post–Ebola syndrome22, 23 and 24; long-term sequelae postinfection by chikungunya virus,25,26 Ross River virus,27, 28, 29 and 30 or other neurotropic viruses such as West Nile virus31; post–polio syndrome, which can emerge as many as 15 to 40 years after an initial poliomyelitis attack32; postmeasles sequelae of delayed acute encephalitis and subacute sclerosing panencephalitis; postgiardiasis chronic fatigue,33 irritable bowel syndrome,34 and fibromyalgia35 persisting for many years after Giardia lamblia intestinal parasitic infection; and long-term sequelae after Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection,27,36, 37, 38, 39 and 40 which now include multiple sclerosis (reviewed in reference41).

Long COVID and other post-acute infection syndromes share core symptoms centering on exertion intolerance, disproportionate levels of fatigue, neurocognitive and sensory impairment, flu-like symptoms, unrefreshing sleep, myalgia/arthralgia, and many nonspecific symptoms that are often present with variable severity. Although these similarities suggest a unifying pathophysiology that needs to be elucidated to properly understand and manage postinfectious chronic disability,16 pathophysiologic research and clinical care face the major challenges of separating long COVID–related from unrelated symptoms,42,43 and the substantial intra- and interindividual variability of long COVID and other post-acute infection syndromes.42 Clinical trajectories are highly variable, with individuals improving, recovering, plateauing, worsening, or following remission-exacerbation cycles for months or even years, all of which complicates diagnosis, management, and prognostication.44, 45 and 46

In this chapter, we will review how clinicians, researchers, governments, and industry have been addressing challenges to generate knowledge, make progress on diagnosis and management, as well as inform future directions on long COVID in pediatric to geriatric populations worldwide.




PREVALENCE

As is the case for other post-acute infection syndromes,16 data on the prevalence, or for that matter prognosis, of long COVID remain limited, rendering their interpretation difficult. The proportion and fate of cases is often unclear owing to the shortage of prospective, well-powered studies with long-term follow-up examinations and objective measures; absence or inappropriateness of control groups; or small sample sizes. Few longitudinal studies have been undertaken in fully representative population-based cohorts, raising concerns about generalizability, adequacy of case ascertainment, and various biases, including those relating to retrospective recall.

Differences in methods and in criteria used to characterize symptoms often complicate the comparison of clinical status and prevalence estimates across studies. Therefore, it is often difficult to draw definitive conclusions about the accuracy of prevalence estimates and long-term prognosis. This represents a serious data gap in the foundational knowledge required to design clinical studies and assess the impact of interventions on the occurrence and management of chronic disease and disability after infection with SARS-CoV-2 or other microbes.16,63

There are wide and country-specific variations in the prevalence of long COVID ranging from 3.3% in the United Kingdom, 13.9% in the United States, to 39% in Denmark and the Faroe Islands.64, 65, 66 and 67 In some studies, overall, 31% to 69% of COVID-19 survivors are estimated to experience
long COVID symptoms after initial recovery from SARS-CoV-2 infection.12,68 For specific subgroups, long COVID development is anticipated in 10% to 30% of nonhospitalized patients, 50% to 70% of hospitalized patients,45,69 and 10% to 12% of vaccinated patients.70 Although children have been largely spared the most severe consequences of acute infection with SARS-CoV-2,71 it is estimated that up to one-quarter of the more than 14 million children diagnosed as having COVID-19 in the United States have developed persistent symptoms of fatigue, postexertional malaise, neurologic and cognitive symptoms, and other symptoms that interfere with activities of daily living for months after their initial illness.72

A telephone survey in France (reaching 478 patients with a 57% response rate) showed that at 4 months after hospitalization for COVID-19, about half the patients had at least one feature of long COVID.73 In an app-based cohort study with 4,182 cases of COVID-19, 13% of respondents self-reported long COVID features, with higher rates in women and older people.74 Another investigation followed 1,733 patients hospitalized for COVID-19 for 6 months and found fatigue or muscle weakness in 63%, sleep difficulties in 26%, anxiety or depression in 23%, and lower rates of myalgia and headache.75 These studies lack control groups and have limited pre-COVID assessments and generalizability, focusing either on hospitalized patients or on individuals who voluntarily responded to a telephone survey or used an app.

As of August 2022, Statistics Canada estimated that nearly 15% of COVID-19 survivors, or approximately 1.4 million adult Canadians, continued to experience post-COVID symptoms at least 3 months after a confirmed or suspected infection.76 A review of electronic health record data conducted by the U.S. CDC found that one in five adults between ages 18 and 64 years and one in four adults aged 65 years or over had a diagnostic code associated with post-COVID symptoms 30 days after onset of SARS-CoV-2. However, the latter study likely underestimates the prevalence of long COVID, as it did not include billing codes for individual symptoms commonly associated with long COVID.69 One study that did account for these symptoms reported a prevalence between 10% and 15%.77 In a population-representative survey conducted from June 30 to July 2, 2022, of a random sample of 3,042 adults aged 18 years or older, weighted to the 2020 U.S. population, and using questions developed by the United Kingdom’s Office of National Statistics, an estimated 7.3% (95% confidence interval: 6.1%-8.5%) of all respondents reported long COVID, corresponding to approximately 18,828,696 U.S. adults.78

In modeled estimates based on a total of 1.2 million individuals from 22 countries who had symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection (mean age, 4-66 years; 26%-88% male), 6.2% experienced at least one of the three long COVID symptom clusters in 2020 and 2021, including 3.2% for persistent fatigue with bodily pain or mood swings, 3.7% for ongoing respiratory problems, and 2.2% for cognitive problems after adjusting for health status before COVID-19, comprising an estimated 51.0%, 60.4%, and 35.4%, respectively, of long COVID cases.79 The estimated mean long COVID symptom cluster duration was 9 months among hospitalized individuals and 4 months among nonhospitalized individuals. Among individuals with long COVID symptoms three months after symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection, an estimated 15.1% continued to experience symptoms at 12 months.79

The RECOVER Consortium established an adult longitudinal cohort of 8,646 participants with evidence of prior COVID-19 and 1,118 uninfected individuals from 85 sites in the United States.80 Each of the symptoms identified was assigned a value and the total was summed to yield an individual’s score. A cutoff point of 12 on the PASC score classified 23% of the overall SARS-CoV-2-infected cohort as meeting the definition. However, nearly 4% of people without a history of COVID-19 met the score cutoff for PASC. This is almost certainly because of overlap of the PASC score criteria with other common chronic symptomatic conditions, such as depression, a disorder whose incidence rose globally during the COVID-19 pandemic.81 Moreover, many of the symptoms included in the PASC score are similar to those of chronic fatigue syndrome.82 Because chronic symptomatic conditions can subsequently cause depression, the inability to distinguish whether symptoms are due to late sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection or another condition may decrease the positive predictive value of any final PASC score. In light of the results of cluster analyses suggesting different degrees of disability for subgroups and the misclassification of those without SARS-CoV-2 infection as having PASC, a single overall PASC score may have limited clinical and research utility.80


In terms of how SARS-CoV-2 compares with other viruses, the epidemic of SARS-CoV-1 in 2002 to 2004 was associated with post-acute infection sequelae at an estimated prevalence of 10% to 20% based on studies with a follow-up of 2 months to 12 years included in a meta-analysis.83 A 6-month retrospective cohort study based on electronic health records of 236,000 COVID-19 patients found higher rates of anxiety and mood disorders, insomnia, and dementia after COVID-19 than after influenza.84,85 Another report, based on electronic health records from American veterans (88% male), also identified increased rates of sequelae in multiple body systems after COVID-19 compared with influenza.86


RISK FACTORS

Although warranting further identification and characterization, risk factors reported for long COVID include female sex, older and middle age, lower socioeconomic status and access to healthcare, and the presence of one or multiple comorbidities including diabetes, obesity, asthma, and somatoform disorders.67,74,79,86, 87, 88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 94, 95, 96, 97, 98, 99, 100, 101, 102, 103, 104, 105, 106, 107 and 108 For instance, in a cross-sectional study conducted between February 2021 and July 2022 evaluating 16,091 survey respondents aged 18 years or over residing in the United States, long COVID was most prevalent and associated with female sex and older age with diminished risk after completing the SARS-CoV-2 vaccination series before infection.65 Infection with Omicron variants appears to be associated with lesser risk of development of long COVID in pediatric and adult populations89,109, 110, 111 and 112 or certain symptoms113 compared with infection with earlier variants.

In a population-representative survey conducted from June 30 to July 2, 2022, in the United States, of a random sample of 3,042 adults aged 18 years or older, weighted to the 2020 U.S. population, and using questions developed by the United Kingdom’s Office of National Statistics, the prevalence of long COVID was higher among respondents who were female, had comorbidities, or were not (vs were) boosted or not vaccinated (vs boosted) (adjusted prevalence ratios of 1.84, 1.55, 1.67, and 1.41, respectively).78

A study of 452 adults and 925 children conducted in Italy documented that although at median 7.8 months of follow-up sex and age alone were not significantly associated with long COVID, their interaction was statistically significant: the risk was higher for males aged 0 to 5 and for females aged 12 to 50 years, especially among those with predominant cardiovascular, neurologic, gastrointestinal, and sleep symptomatology.114

In a study of 1,243 children in a post-COVID clinic in Rome, Italy, acute-phase hospitalization, preexisting comorbidity, being infected with pre-Omicron variants, and older age (over 10 years old) were associated with a higher risk of developing long COVID.115 Most children recovered over time, but 1 in 20 of those with long COVID at 3 months reported persistent symptoms 18 months post-SARS-CoV-2 infection. Omicron infection was associated with shorter recovery times, and there was not a strong protective effect of vaccination on long COVID development.115

A meta-analysis of 41 articles and a total of 860,783 patients concluded that female sex, age, high body mass index, and smoking (odds ratios of 1.56, 1.21, 1.15, and 1.10, respectively) were associated with an increased risk of developing long COVID, whereas patients who had been vaccinated against COVID-19 with two doses had a significantly lower risk of developing long COVID compared with patients who were not vaccinated (odds ratio, 0.57).95 Another systematic review yielded a similar finding about the effect of vaccination.116 However, long COVID can affect anyone exposed to SARS-CoV-2, regardless of age or symptom severity of the acute SARS-CoV-2 infection.117,118 For instance, longitudinal data indicate that mild SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with persistent cognitive symptoms,44,67,88,119, 120, 121, 122 and 123 with delayed symptom onset not only in individuals with preexisting cognitive risk factors124 but also in young individuals in the absence of comorbidities.123

Preexisting anxiety and depressive symptoms also have been associated with the development of long COVID in some but not all studies,124 and mood changes may occur with physical symptoms in some individuals experiencing this condition.125 A cross-sectional survey of 11,710 individuals who had been infected by SARS-CoV-2 found that preexisting sleep disturbances are an independent predictor of long COVID (adjusted odds ratio, 2.7).126


Being unvaccinated against SARS-CoV-2 raises the risk of developing long COVID,127 as also documented in patients with cancer who are infected by SARS-CoV-2 Omicron B.1.1.529.128 In a study in the United Kingdom on 28,356 participants in the Office for National Statistics (ONS) COVID-19 Infection Survey and aged 18 to 69 years who received at least one dose of an adenovirus vector or messenger RNA (mRNA) COVID-19 vaccine after testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection,129 the odds of experiencing long COVID symptoms that persisted for at least 12 weeks decreased by an average of 13% after a first COVID-19 vaccine dose. Receiving a second vaccine dose was associated with a further 9% decrease in the odds of long COVID, and statistical evidence suggested a sustained improvement after this, at least over median follow-up of 67 days. Similar findings were obtained when the focus was on long COVID severe enough to result in functional impairment. There was no heterogeneity in associations between vaccination and long COVID by sociodemographic characteristics, health status, hospital admission with acute COVID-19, vaccine type (adenovirus vector or mRNA), or duration from SARS-CoV-2 infection to vaccination. However, this observational study was unlikely to have been sufficiently powered to detect these associations.129

In a retrospective cohort study of 198,601 SARS-CoV-2-positive individuals in databases from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs healthcare system, long COVID care was documented in a variety of clinical settings, with great variability across regions and medical centers, and more commonly in older persons, Black or American Indian/Alaska Native race, Hispanic ethnicity, as well as those with high Charlson Comorbidity Index score, more severe acute COVID-19 presentation, and those who were unvaccinated at the time of infection.130

The RECOVER Consortium, based on an adult longitudinal cohort of 8,646 participants with evidence of prior COVID-19 and 1,118 uninfected individuals from 85 sites in the United States,80 classified 23% of the overall SARS-CoV-2-infected cohort as meeting the definition of long COVID. The proportion meeting this definition was, in general, higher among unvaccinated than fully vaccinated participants and in the Omicron cohorts, and higher among reinfected participants compared with those with one reported infection.80 Another study showed that vaccinated individuals have lower risk of long COVID after Omicron infection than those who are unvaccinated,131 and an analysis evinced a 79% drop in the number of patients being referred to the Long Coronavirus Disease Clinic at the Cambridge University Teaching Hospital from August 2021 to June 2022, compared with August 2020 to July 2021.132

Although some studies have shown inconsistent results of the effects of vaccination,133 systematic reviews document a modest reduction in long COVID frequency among fully vaccinated participants.116,134,135 Vaccines alone are insufficient to completely prevent long COVID as shown in observational studies by the same group in which patients with breakthrough infection had a higher risk of long COVID than individuals without COVID-19 or patients with influenza.70,135 Reinfection risk is especially higher with the Omicron variant, which is prone to better evade immunity from previous infection.136,137 Any protection from previous infection (against reinfection and its severity) also wanes over time.136

Antiviral treatment may also help prevent long COVID. An exploratory comparative retrospective cohort study utilizing curated data from the TriNetX research network, including vaccinated patients aged 18 years or older who subsequently developed COVID-19 between December 2021 and April 2022, found that nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir treatment within 5 days of acute infection diagnosis was associated with a reduction in the development of symptoms commonly observed with long COVID as well as in healthcare utilization between 30 and 180 days after acute infection.138 More accurate assessments of the effect of nirmatrelvir plus ritonavir treatment on the incidence of long COVID are expected from long-term follow-up of randomized trials, such as EPIC-HR,139 EPIC-SR,140 and COVID-OUT.141

In terms of risk factors for specific subtypes of long COVID, a deep multiomic, longitudinal investigation of 309 patients with COVID-19 from initial diagnosis to convalescence (2-3 months later), integrated with clinical data and patient-reported symptoms, resolved four long COVID–anticipating risk factors at the time of initial COVID-19 diagnosis: type 2 diabetes, SARS-CoV-2 RNAemia, EBV viremia, and specific autoantibodies. In patients with gastrointestinal long COVID, SARS-CoV-2-specific and cytomegalovirus (CMV)-specific CD8+ T cells exhibited unique dynamics during recovery from COVID-19. Analysis of symptom-associated immunologic signatures revealed
coordinated immunity polarization into four endotypes, exhibiting divergent acute severity and long COVID. Immunologic associations between long COVID factors diminish over time, leading to distinct convalescent immune states. Detectability of most long COVID factors at COVID-19 diagnosis emphasizes the importance of early disease measurements for understanding emergent chronic conditions.68 However, the study has a limited sample size and the endotypes described do not fully match those of other studies in frequency and symptomatology.

COVID-19 research is also focusing on the development of machine learning algorithms to optimize the prediction of COVID-19142 and estimate COVID-19 vaccination side effects,143 risk of death as a result of COVID-19 for patients in hospital intensive care units (ICUs),144 and long COVID. To this end, one study was conducted in the United States to identify patients with potential long COVID using gradient boosting models that had been trained on patients treated in a specialized long COVID clinic145 and applied to patient cohort data from a U.S. COVID-19 database. The study had the common limitation of not representing all population strata, including the uninsured and those unable to afford medical treatment. Likewise, using artificial intelligence and machine learning to identify potential features increasing the risk of developing long COVID after COVID-19 infection, an exploratory study based on electronic medical records of over 270,000 patients before COVID-19 infection in primary care practices in Germany identified COVID-19 variant, physician practice, age, distinct number of diagnoses and therapies, sick days ratio, sex, vaccination rate, somatoform disorders, migraine, back pain, asthma, malaise, and fatigue, as well as cough preparations as the most predictive features.89 The study had the limitation that electronic medical records only document visits to general practitioners and not different specialty practices or hospitals, and the data are skewed toward patients who visit them regularly.

Although it has been a matter of debate, no association of any ABO blood subgroup with COVID-19 or developing long COVID was identified in a most recent study.146


PATHOGENESIS

The pathogenesis of delayed complications of COVID-19 remains poorly understood, with a dissociation seen between ongoing symptoms and objective measures of health.147, 148 and 149 Several hypotheses have been put forth on the pathogenesis of long COVID including viral persistence or reactivation, whether of SARS-CoV-2150,151 or other viruses, immune activation/dysregulation,152,153 autoimmunity, microvascular dysfunction,154,155 and dysregulation of the microbiota-gut-brain axis, which alone or in combination might be responsible for its development.156,157 SARS-CoV-2 also causes direct multiorgan dysfunction during acute infection158, 159, 160 and 161 and permanent organ damage,162,163 which will be covered in the “Pathophysiology” section under each body system.


Persistence of SARS-CoV-2

Although conventional methods such as peripheral blood or nasopharyngeal swab sampling may fail to detect any ongoing presence of SARS-CoV-2, the virus might nonetheless establish a persistent infection or leave noninfectious remnants in deep tissues. In fact, viral replication might occur for several months after the initial infection as evinced by the detection of subgenomic RNA, a marker of recent virus replication; the isolation of replication-competent SARS-CoV-2 from respiratory and nonrespiratory tissues164, 165 and 166; and the existence of viral reservoirs for SARS-CoV-2.68,150,167, 168, 169, 170, 171, 172, 173, 174 and 175 More specifically, these studies have demonstrated the persistence of viral antigens, viral RNA, and whole virus in the brain, sinus, adrenal glands, kidneys, gut, lymph nodes, spleen, lungs, and heart, which can underlie symptoms through direct viral cytopathic effects; regional inflammation; triggering an immune response causing an elevated and prolonged state of generalized inflammation; and prompting autoimmunity in pediatric or adult populations.168,176,177

Evaluation in a Brazilian study for the presence of subgenomic nucleoprotein gene (N) mRNA in rectal swab samples and cytopathic effects in Vero cell culture demonstrated the replication capacity of SARS-CoV-2 in the gastrointestinal tract and infectious viruses in one rectal swab sample,178 further supporting previous studies that detected SARS-CoV-2 in feces.179, 180, 181, 182, 183, 184 and 185 Immunofluorescence and PCR analyses of intestinal biopsies obtained from asymptomatic individuals at 4 months after the onset of COVID-19 revealed the persistence of SARS-CoV-2 nucleic acids and immunoreactivity
in the small bowel of 7 out of 14 individuals.150 Persistent viral protein and RNA infection of enterocytes186 in intestinal biopsies for several months after infection renders the small intestine a reservoir of long-term viral replication.150

An endoscopy study reported expression of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the gut mucosa in 32 of 46 patients with inflammatory bowel disease, and viral nucleocapsid protein persistence in gut epithelium and CD8+ T cells in 24 of 46 patients at approximately 7 months after mild acute COVID-19 in patients with long COVID but not in those without it; expression of SARS-CoV-2 antigens was not detectable in stool, and viral antigen persistence was unrelated to severity of acute COVID-19, immunosuppressive therapy, and gut inflammation.151

Although usually lacking whole-genome sequencing and phylogenetic analyses to distinguish recurrent infection from reinfection,187 other studies also have documented that some patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 do not rapidly clear the virus.172,188,189 In one study,189 the estimated time to loss of SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection ranged from 45.6 days for nasopharyngeal swab samples to 46.3 days for feces samples in mild cases and from 48.9 days for nasopharyngeal swab samples to 49.4 days for feces samples in severe cases, which was longer than those documented for SARS-CoV-1190 and MERS-CoV.191 Consistently, SARS-CoV-2 can be detected in anal swabs, a signal that remains positive long after nasopharyngeal swabs are negative.192

SARS-CoV-2 antigen persistence has been identified in long COVID cases in various tissues.68,150,168, 169, 170, 171, 172 and 173,193, 194, 195, 196 and 197 For instance, studies have documented associations between persistent antigenemia and long COVID manifestations, including in the olfactory bulb perhaps explaining persistent anosmia.196,197

Spike protein persists in the plasma of patients with long COVID-19 for up to 12 months postdiagnosis.171 Spike protein or its S1 fragment is released from cells during infection, reaching different tissues, including the central nervous system, irrespective of the presence of the viral RNA.198,199 Cells expressing the spike protein release extracellular vesicles containing the full-length protein,200 which would be another means of its circulation in the body. Free S1 has been shown to cross the blood-brain barrier in mouse models, reaching different memory-related regions of the brain, suggesting that the protein itself, independent of the viral particles, would affect brain functions.201 Moreover, high levels of circulating spike protein were detected several months after SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients diagnosed with long COVID but not in individuals who did not present long-term sequelae.171

In a comprehensive imaging and omics study of mice and humans, the skull, brain, and meninges, along with the vertebra and pelvic bones, were assessed from 20 patients who had died from non-COVID causes but had previously documented COVID-19. Long after their acute COVID-19 episode, most (12 of 20) of these individuals had marked accumulation of the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein in the skull-meninges and brain tissue, not found in controls. Only the spike protein, not other parts of the virus, was found in brain parenchyma. When the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein was injected in a mouse model, there was brain cell injury, death, and persistent inflammation in the skull, reflecting the importance of this immunologic niche reservoir.202

Persistent pathogen reservoir or remnants will generate pathogen-associated molecular patterns (PAMPs), such as viral RNA or proteins, and these can engage various host pattern recognition receptors (PRRs) to trigger innate immune activation. Persistent pathogen or remnant antigens can also trigger T and B lymphocytes.150 If the effector functions of T cells and antibodies are insufficient to clear the pathogen, chronic stimulation of these lymphocytes can cause inflammatory conditions.

Studies predicted that SARS-CoV-2 spike protein binds to Toll-like receptor (TLR)4, a host PRR,203 with higher affinity than to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2),204, 205 and 206 and its aberrant signaling is involved in the hyperinflammatory response of patients with COVID-19.207 In vitro studies demonstrated that SARS-CoV-2 spike protein activates TLR4 in cultured phagocytic cells, stimulating production of proinflammatory mediators.208, 209, 210 and 211 TLR4 has been implicated in microglial activation and cognitive dysfunction of Alzheimer disease,212 and a study using a mouse model of intracerebroventricular infusion of the trimeric SARS-CoV-2 spike protein demonstrated late cognitive impairment, synapse loss, and microglial engulfment of presynaptic terminals, which were prevented by early TLR4 blockage.202 The latter model recapitulated not only long-term cognitive impairment but also recovery of memory function seen in long COVID, expanding previous studies that were focused on the short-term effects of exposure to the spike S1 fragment after direct infusion into hippocampal tissue in aged mice.208,213,214 The TLR4 single-nucleotide polymorphism
rs10759931 was also associated with long-term cognitive impairment in patients who recovered from mild COVID-19.202

Viral persistence has also been documented for RNA viruses such as West Nile virus, with patients with chronic symptoms still testing positive in urine reverse transcription (RT)-PCR tests 1.6 to 6.7 years after recovery from acute illness.215 The longest bouts of SARS-CoV-2 infection documented have been in immunocompromised patients, which is also believed to be an important source of variation for the virus, including the emergence of its Alpha and Omicron variants, with rapid accumulation of many mutations within a short period of time and development of resistance to available preventive and therapeutic interventions.216, 217, 218, 219, 220, 221 and 222 A patient in the United Kingdom, for instance, tested positive for COVID-19 for 505 days until her death.223

Several cases of prolonged SARS-CoV-2 infection have been reported in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) with severe T-cell depletion and/or acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS), with subsequent emergence of a multitude of mutations conferring extensive escape from antibody neutralization elicited by both ancestral SARS-CoV-2 infection and vaccines.224, 225, 226 and 227 It should be noted that HIV infection per se is not a risk factor for SARS-CoV-2 infection,228, 229, 230, 231 and 232 and people living with HIV with well-controlled HIV infection have similar immune responses to both SARS-CoV-2 natural infection and vaccination as those of people without HIV.233 However, people living with HIV appear to be at increased risk of developing long COVID.126,233, 234, 235 and 236 To this end, a cohort study of 280 adults reported that underlying HIV infection was independently associated with neurocognitive long COVID (odds ratio, 2.5) at a median 4 months post-SARS-CoV-2 infection.125 Increased risk of long COVID in people living with HIV may also be possibly driven by sociodemographic factors such as age and clinical factors such as other comorbidities.230 Although lack of virologic-immunologic control may lead to long COVID in people living with HIV, a study found no relationship between long COVID and SARS-CoV-2–specific humoral and T-cell responses or immune exhaustion.235


Reactivation of Viruses

It remains unknown if SARS-CoV-2 can reactivate and retransmit after several years of dormancy, as has been documented for Ebola virus, which reemerged in 2021 in people who previously had Ebola virus disease in 2016.237

In terms of viruses other than SARS-CoV-2, reactivation of EBV has been indirectly inferred to correlate with long COVID through antibody titer measurements.68,235,238 A cohort study of 280 adults documented that fatigue and neurocognitive dysfunction at a median of 4 months following initial diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2 infection were independently associated with serologic evidence, suggesting recent EBV reactivation (early antigen-diffuse immunoglobulin G [IgG] positivity) or high nuclear antigen (EBNA) IgG levels but not with ongoing EBV viremia. Serologic evidence suggesting recent EBV reactivation (early antigen-diffuse IgG positivity) was most strongly associated with fatigue (odds ratio, 2.12).125 However, study participants who had serologic evidence of prior CMV infection were less likely to develop neurocognitive long COVID (odds ratio, 0.52), which suggests differential effects of chronic viral coinfections, even from the same family of herpesviruses, on the likelihood of developing long COVID and association with distinct syndromic patterns.235 Studies such as the latter are usually limited by incomplete assessments during the acute phase of COVID-19 to better generate covariate-adjusted binary logistic regression models to identify independent associations between variables and long COVID symptoms.

Beyond reactivation of EBV and CMV, that of human herpesvirus 6 has also been proposed as playing a role in long COVID based on previous evidence of their effects on viral superantigen activation of the immune system, disturbance in the gut microbiome, and multiple tissue damage and autoimmunity.239 However, an association with pathogenesis of long COVID, chronic fatigue syndrome, and post-acute infection syndrome remains to be robustly substantiated. Maybe reactivation of herpesviruses is one in a multitude of cofactors in disease pathogenesis.


Immune Activation/Dysregulation

Persistent immune activation is regarded as a major pathogenic mechanism of long COVID.105,240, 241 and 242 Inflammation during early SARS-CoV-2 infection has been associated with adverse outcomes, particularly in those who were hospitalized with COVID-19241, 242, 243, 244, 245, 246, 247, 248 and 249 and can persist for weeks to months.250,251 For example, individuals well enough to donate convalescent plasma have elevations
in certain markers of inflammation, such as interferon gamma, monocyte chemoattractant protein 1, and several interleukins, as compared to prepandemic plasma donors.250 Although various immune-activating cytokines can have protective or homeostatic effects,252, 253 and 254 their dysregulation may lead to detrimental clinical conditions.

Studies have identified immune dysregulation and inflammation, including pathways associated with tumor necrosis factor-α, and interleukins-6 and -1β, among others, that could contribute to systemic symptoms such as fever and fatigue in individuals with long COVID relative to individuals with full recovery.68,152,153,235,255,256 Persistent immune activation may be associated with ongoing symptoms following COVID-19. In the Long-term Impact of Infection with Novel Coronavirus (LIINC) study152 of 121 participants (>10% with lung problems, diabetes, and obesity) at San Francisco General Hospital, United States, during early recovery (ie, <90 days) post-SARS-CoV-2 infection, those who went on to develop long COVID generally had significantly higher levels of cytokines including tumor necrosis factor-α (1.14-fold) and interferon-γ-induced protein 10 (1.28-fold). Among those with long COVID, there was a trend toward higher interleukin-6 levels during early recovery (1.29-fold), which became more pronounced in late recovery (1.44-fold). These differences were more pronounced among those with a greater number of long COVID symptoms.152

Other forms of immune dysregulation may be associated with long COVID.170,257 Persistent adaptive immune system dysregulation has been documented into convalescence and up to 8 months, notably changes in cell populations toward a more inflammatory, reactive state with increases in proinflammatory cytokines from various cells and decreases in naïve T-cell and B-cell populations, which might contribute to long COVID development.105,258, 259, 260, 261, 262, 263, 264 and 265

Persistent alterations in the myeloid cell compartment, including monocytes and dendritic cells, after SARS-CoV-2 infection have also been reported,266, 267 and 268 and unique monocyte signatures were found among subgroups of patients with long COVID.268 A multiomics study of a few hundred patients reported immune cell phenotypes associated with subtypes of prominent sequelae within 2 to 3 months after acute COVID-19, including myeloid-derived suppressor cells in cough subtype, a memory-like natural killer cell subtype in sputum subtype, and activated Treg in several subtypes.68 However, these findings have not been more widely confirmed and the study did not discern which patients later developed long COVID.

A study of 46 individuals with evidence of interstitial lung changes at 3 to 6 months after recovery from severe COVID-19 documented that they had an upregulated neutrophil-associated immune signature including increased chemokines, proteases, and markers of neutrophil extracellular traps that were detectable in the blood.269 Similar pathways were enriched in the upper airway with a concomitant increase in antiviral type I interferon signaling. Interaction analysis of the peripheral phosphoproteome identified enriched kinases critical for neutrophil inflammatory pathways. Evaluation of these individuals at 12 months after recovery indicated that a subset of the individuals had not yet achieved full normalization of radiologic and functional changes.269 Whether these findings apply to individuals who did not suffer severe COVID-19 remains to be determined.


Autoimmunity

In parasite and viral infections, aberrant B-cell responses can suppress germinal center reactions, thereby blunting long-lived memory and may provoke immunopathology including autoimmunity. Likewise, adaptive immunity to SARS-CoV-2 may shift toward autoreactivity.255,270 Although autoreactive immunity has been demonstrated during and just after acute SARS-CoV-2 infection,68,271, 272, 273, 274, 275 and 276 the data for long COVID are mixed.68,94,170,273,274,277, 278 and 279

Autoantibodies, especially those that neutralize type I interferons, have been reported to be associated with immune dysfunction and COVID-19 mortality280,281 and have been speculated to be associated with long COVID.170 Diverse autoantibody classes are produced in acute COVID-19 as well as post-COVID-19 multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children.254,280,281, 282, 283, 284, 285 and 286 Moreover, many reports suggest that patients may experience de novo or worsening of preexisting autoimmune conditions, such as autoimmune cytopenias, Guillain-Barré syndrome, or systemic lupus erythematosus.287, 288, 289 and 290

It remains elusive if autoantibodies represent an inflammatory epiphenomenon or pathophysiologically contribute to long COVID.291 However, new diagnoses or exacerbations of clinical entities with autoimmune mechanisms, such as diabetes292 and thyroiditis,293 have been reported following SARS-CoV-2 infection.



Microvascular Dysfunction

Microvascular dysfunction, platelet activation, and clotting might be potential drivers of long COVID via organ dysfunction manifesting as inflammation,154,294, 295, 296, 297, 298, 299, 300 and 301 even after mild COVID-19.302 Endothelial cells are infected by SARS-CoV-2 via the ACE2 receptor expressed on their surface,303, 304, 305 and 306 which is downregulated by the SARS-CoV-2 spike protein.307 Viral-mediated endothelial injury results in contraction of cell margins, shedding of glycocalyx, extension of phosphatidylserine-rich filopods, and barrier damage.302,308, 309 and 310 During acute SARS-CoV-2 infection, damaged endothelial cells promote diffuse microthrombi and destroy the endothelial (including blood-air, blood-brain, glomerular filtration, and intestinal-blood) barriers, leading to multiple organ dysfunction.297,311, 312, 313 and 314 Even viral debris, whether nucleic acids or proteins, may continue to damage endothelial cells, induce cytokines, and activate immune responses.315 During the convalescence period, a subset of patients is unable to fully recover because of persistent endothelial dysfunction, contributing to long COVID.308 These patients continue to show elevated levels of D-dimer, factor VIII, thrombin, von Willebrand factor, intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM-1), and interleukin-6 even 1 year after recovery,297,312 and persistent endothelial glycocalyx damage, higher levels of circulating endothelial cells, and impaired vascular and myocardial function.316, 317, 318 and 319 Sustained microcirculation damage in patients with long COVID has also been observed using sublingual and retinal microscopy.320,321

A study showed that plasma samples from patients with long COVID or with acute COVID-19 contain large amyloid deposits or microclots, which are resistant to fibrinolysis (compared with plasma from controls and patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus), even after trypsinization.154 Microclots were solubilized after a second trypsinization, and various inflammatory molecules were substantially increased in both the supernatant fluid and trapped in the solubilized pellet deposits of acute COVID-19 and long COVID, versus the equivalent volume of fully digested fluid of the control samples and patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Substantially greater amounts of α(2)-antiplasmin, various fibrinogen chains, as well as Serum Amyloid A were trapped in the solubilized fibrinolytic-resistant pellet deposits.154

In cerebral small vessels of patients with COVID-19 as well as in mouse and hamster models, a study documented an increase in empty vascular basement membrane tubes, so-called string vessels that have been implicated in regulating cerebrovascular coupling, endothelial cell death, and blood-brain barrier disruption,322,323 reflecting microvascular pathology.155 The study showed that endothelial cells were infected, and that the main protease of SARS-CoV-2 (NSP5 or Mpro) cleaves NEMO, the essential modulator of nuclear factor-κB. By ablating NEMO, Mpro induces the death of human brain endothelial cells and the occurrence of string vessels in mice. Deletion of receptor-interacting protein kinase (RIPK) 3, a mediator of regulated cell death, blocks the vessel rarefaction and disruption of the blood-brain barrier because of NEMO ablation.155

In a study in Spain of patients with no history of cardiovascular disease who experienced chest pain and were referred to a long COVID outpatient clinic, adenosine stress perfusion cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) showed significant circumferential subendocardial perfusion defect in 50% of cases over 8 months after SARS-CoV-2 infection, despite the absence of any ischemic patterns and myocardial T1 and T2 mapping changes, which is highly suggestive of microvascular dysfunction.324 Similarly, another study on patients without a history of coronary heart disease who suffered from cardiac injury during the acute phase of COVID-19 reported that patients returned to normal cardiac function within 6 months follow-up.308 However, cardiac MRI revealed a significantly higher proportion in positive late gadolinium enhancement in the cardiac injury group compared with controls, suggestive of myocardial fibrosis. Although the latter fibrosis may be secondary to myocardial damage during acute illness, a study on SARS-CoV-1 had shown that fibrosis might be associated with changes in transforming growth factor-β signaling.325

Microvascular thrombi are also involved in respiratory system–associated morbidity in long COVID.326


Dysregulation of the Microbiota-Gut-Brain Axis

Microbial translocation, including fungal translocation, because of reduced integrity of the blood-gut barrier may underlie long COVID,327, 328, 329, 330 and 331 as might dysbiosis,328,332, 333, 334 and 335 with perturbations in the microbiome at over 6 months postinfection, which may explain a variety of gastrointestinal-related symptoms.335, 336, 337 and 338 Translocation of gut microbes and their products across the gut epithelium can exacerbate initial systemic inflammation.186,339


In an observational study, persistence of respiratory symptoms correlated with opportunistic gut pathogens; neuropsychiatric symptoms and fatigue with nosocomial gut pathogens; and hair loss with butyrate-producing species.335 There was also a positive correlation between 6-minute walking distances and some microflora products (such as several short-chain fatty acids). Another study documented an association between intestinal microbial alterations and persistent low-grade inflammation and respiratory dysfunction (lower diffusing capacity) at 3-month follow-up after severe COVID-19.340 In a case report, modulation of intestinal microbiota (a high-fiber formula) alleviated severe long COVID symptoms, including severe appetite loss, nausea, palpitations, and anxiety.341


Apr 2, 2025 | Posted by in PUBLIC HEALTH AND EPIDEMIOLOGY | Comments Off on Long COVID

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